大数据环境下船舶中间产品装配工时预测模型
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.江苏科技大学 经济管理学院;2.镇江市金舟软件有限责任公司

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

U673.2

基金项目:

江苏省社会科学基金项目“江苏区域绿色经济效率评价、影响因素及提升策略研究”


Prediction Model of Ship Intermediate Product Assembly Man Hour in Big Data Environment
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of economics and management,Jiangsu University of science and technology;2.Zhenjiang Jinzhou Software Co,Ltd

Fund Project:

Jiangsu Province Social Science Fund Project "Evaluation, Influencing Factors and Promotion Strategies of Regional Green Economy Efficiency in Jiangsu Province"

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为提高船舶中间产品装配工时预测的精确度,在考虑装配工艺特征的基础上,同时考虑环境、人员等因素对工时预测的影响,提出了基于大数据的考虑误差修正的两阶段工时预测模型。第一阶段,从船舶设计软件中提取中间产品装配的工艺信息,建立BP神经网络模型实现工时的初步预测;第二阶段,通过采集对工时预测可能造成影响的外界因素大数据,建立基于XGBoost算法的工时预测误差修正模型;最后将两阶段预测结果相加得到该作业的工时预测值。通过实例测算验证了该模型的有效性,同时可为一般机械加工产品的工时预测以及工时修正方向的研究提供切实可行的解决思路。

    Abstract:

    In order to improve the accuracy of the assembly man hour prediction of ship intermediate products, a two-stage man hour prediction model based on big data and considering error correction is proposed on the basis of considering the assembly process characteristics and the influence of environment, personnel and other factors on the man hour prediction. In the first stage, the process information of intermediate product assembly is extracted from the ship design software, and the BP neural network model is established to preliminarily predict the working hours; In the second stage, the error correction model of working hour prediction based on xgboost algorithm is established by collecting big data of external factors that may affect working hour prediction; Finally, add the two-stage prediction results to obtain the man hour prediction value of the job. The validity of the model is verified by the calculation of an example, and it can provide a practical solution for the prediction of working hours of general machining products and the research of the direction of working hours correction.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-09-08
  • 最后修改日期:2022-10-17
  • 录用日期:2022-10-19
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期: